| 1. | This dissertation regards methodology of the complicated system as guidelines , researches on the macroeconomy information management forecast and warning system with qualitative and quantitative analysis . in this dissertation , proceeding from the angles of the model and index , the main macroeconomy index and macroeconomy trend predicting based on grey model and regression model , and a microsimulation model of the economy are studied
本文以复杂系统的方法论为指导,采取定性和定量分析相结合的方法研究地方宏观经济信息管理,预测预警系统,并从模型和指标的角度对宏观经济进行研究,筛选出合理反映南岸区经济运行态势的主要指标进行预测,对比分析了国内外的主要经济预测算法。 |
